Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.027660 11.219328 12.506934 14.003353 15.696849 17.556457 19.756625
2025-04-27 8.419459 10.038144 11.911304 14.246111 17.088083 20.447269 24.736664
2025-05-04 7.118730 8.977636 11.263914 14.298722 18.245487 23.236969 30.079449
2025-05-11 5.937783 7.876736 10.396621 13.939607 18.837627 25.435637 35.107199
2025-05-18 5.032153 6.992184 9.672149 13.647310 19.467213 27.790126 40.799169
2025-05-25 4.321327 6.266326 9.053564 13.399419 20.114828 30.279315 47.176630
2025-06-01 3.772009 5.690729 8.563238 13.257046 20.890450 33.088249 54.608319
2025-06-08 3.335696 5.221460 8.162414 13.185032 21.759123 36.189774 63.155455
2025-06-15 3.060570 4.964318 8.053241 13.560900 23.422268 40.895358 75.479685
2025-06-22 2.735675 4.581241 7.684436 13.438028 24.198197 44.187539 85.923371
2025-06-29 2.424562 4.180226 7.230188 13.092374 24.507338 46.670997 95.335078
2025-07-06 2.181952 3.867599 6.888540 12.899097 25.068319 49.733449 106.628938
2025-07-13 2.030514 3.705701 6.808291 13.212221 26.729923 55.425083 125.260405
2025-07-20 1.902694 3.571612 6.762665 13.589207 28.600472 61.955531 147.584705
2025-07-27 1.764861 3.400860 6.623419 13.753019 30.048290 67.864519 170.051577
2025-08-03 1.600764 3.157916 6.308217 13.492760 30.500031 71.567706 187.907656
2025-08-10 1.460162 2.946003 6.030126 13.272748 31.010975 75.536035 207.666124
2025-08-17 1.338022 2.758267 5.779684 13.078256 31.552934 79.712034 229.297700
2025-08-24 1.236500 2.602847 5.580179 12.973920 32.307046 84.624380 254.691834
2025-08-31 1.149992 2.470359 5.415417 12.929314 33.212990 90.167610 283.885069
2025-09-07 1.100906 2.416055 5.422742 13.317240 35.366069 99.781772 329.880542
2025-09-14 1.024934 2.291320 5.249100 13.211689 36.122791 105.434636 364.017857
2025-09-21 0.943356 2.144570 5.005111 12.883285 36.177679 108.947992 391.583273